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Runway and Scenario Planner

Works out how long the money lasts under three honestly-constructed scenarios, and names the decision date for each rather than the end date.

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CategoryFinanceForFounders, Operators, SolopreneursTested onClaudeChatGPT

Running it, start to finish

  1. Gather real cash, real costs and six months of actual revenue.
  2. Put every section 3 decision date in the calendar before doing anything else.
  3. Track the section 5 indicators weekly.

What you get back

The output this produces, every time.

  • Computes zero dates under three scenarios built from your actual trend, not your plan.
  • Works backwards to the last date each lever can still be pulled — the number that actually governs.
  • Names the leading indicators that tell you which scenario you are in, early enough to act.

Getting better results

Where this usually goes wrong, and how to avoid it.

  • Use actual revenue history. not the forecast. Section 1 states which it used, and a plan-based base case is the single most common way runway planning goes wrong.
  • Put the decision dates in your calendar. as events with reminders. They are the entire output and they are easy to notice too late.
  • Be honest in expected-inflows. A 'probable' payment that has not been signed is not probable. Overstating this is how the downside case gets skipped.

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Written for The AI University. Every prompt in this library is original work — authored, tested and revised here, not collected from elsewhere. 365 of them, free with an account.